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Top-level security for 2015-16 Premier League champions Leicester City appears to be in serious doubt unless a specific scenario unfolds on the final day of the 2022-23 season.
The Foxes are no longer in control of their own destiny with one game left in the campaign. They will be watching closely what happens in the game between Everton and Bournemouth where they need the Toffees to drop points.
It’s a sad state of affairs for a team that shocked the world less than a decade ago with the most unlikely title win in top-flight English history.
Now they are in real trouble to be sent down a championship spot next season, forced into a summer of uncertainty with players likely to come and go en masse. The Sporting News gives you the full picture of what Leicester needs to stay afloat in the Premier League for at least another season.
MORE: Leeds United relegation chances and what they need to stay on
Relegation chances for Leicester City
With Southampton the only team already certain of the drop, three other clubs remain in danger and two places remain to be filled.
Everton appear safest as they have the most points on the board – two more than Leeds and the Foxes – but the situation for the Toffees is complicated by their inferior goal difference to Leicester by six goals.
However, Everton know that a victory over Bournemouth on the final day would guarantee their safety at the expense of their relegation rivals.
Premier League table: the bottom four
*Position correct as of Monday, May 22, 2023. Chance of relegation via FiveThirtyEight.
| Pos | Team | Points | Matches played |
Goals scored |
Goal Difference |
next game | degradation probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17. | Everton | 33 | 37 | 33 | -24 | vs. BOU, May 28 | 23% |
| 18. | Leicester city | 31 | 37 | 49 | -18 | vs. WHU, May 28 | 82% |
| 19. | Leeds United | 31 | 37 | 47 | -27 | versus TOT, May 28 | 95% |
| 20. | Southampton – R | 24 | 37 | 32 | -37 | against LIV, May 28 | — |
Premier League last relegation chances 2022/23
Here are the latest relegation odds available at the various sportsbooks around the world.
Quotations valid from Monday 22 May.
| USA (BetMGM) |
UK (Sky bet) |
Australia (Neds) |
|
| Leeds United | -3000 | 1/33 | 1.03 |
| Everton | +300 | 10/3 | 4.00 |
| Leicester city | -700 | 1/7 | 1.14 |
What does Leicester City need to survive?
Leicester must be ahead of both Leeds and Everton to survive.
For that to happen, not only do Leicester need to win their last game, but they also need Everton to drop points at home to Bournemouth.
How Leicester can survive
- Everton draw or lose vs. Bournemouth AND
- Leicester City win vs. Western Ham
The Foxes have a goal difference lead (-18) against both Everton (-24) and Leeds United (-27), meaning they would finish above them if they finished on points.
There’s a wild scenario where a Leeds United win over Tottenham by 11 goals would see them revert that goal difference, but it’s safe to assume that won’t happen.
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